US Market Recap | 2026-09-04 (ET) Friday
August nonfarm payrolls at +162,000 (consensus +53,000) set off a "good news is bad news" reaction, but the real story today was not rates — it was money moving inside tech, out of software and into A…
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US Market Recap | 2026-09-03 (ET), Thursday
Today was a clean risk-on, and what triggered it was not data but one person. The 10:00 ET ISM services print ran hot on both the headline and the prices component (PMI 55.4, new orders 60.9, the fast…
US Pre-Market Brief | 2026-09-03 (ET) Thursday
Today's macro backdrop is something many people have not yet re-wired: what the Fed is debating is "hike or not," not "cut or not." Ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC, the market is pricing roughly 60%…
US Market Recap | 2026-09-02 (ET) Wednesday
Today was risk-on, with one precise exception: software. S&P +0.46%, Dow +0.56%, Nasdaq +0.45%, Russell 2000 +1.13% (IWM +1.18%); the three major indices ended a three-day losing streak, roughly 2/3 o…
US Pre-Market Brief | 2026-09-02 (ET) Wednesday
Today's strongest catalyst is not any single piece of good news but a shared phenomenon: three companies (MDB, PANW, CRDO) all beat, and all were sold off. MongoDB beat on revenue by 5.0%, beat on EPS…
US Market Recap | 2026-09-01 (ET) Tuesday
The pre-market list got the direction right, but its reason was wrong — and it was the single most important reason of the day that was wrong. The pre-market brief identified the day's main line as an…
US Pre-Market Brief | 2026-09-01 (ET) Tuesday
Today's war risk is real and escalating (Iran has struck two US military bases in Jordan with missiles, and Trump has threatened to blow up Kharg Island, Iran's main crude export terminal); but that r…
US Market Recap | 2026-08-31 (ET) Monday
Today was a textbook "almost every direction right, but no money in it" day — the pre-market list hit 26/33 (78.8%) on the day's direction, yet 8 of the 15 long-side names closed below their own pre-m…
U.S. Pre-Market Brief | 2026-08-31 (ET) Monday
The most important new information today is the California legislation — but the media has broadly gotten one key fact wrong, which I verified against a primary source and correct as follows. ⚠️ SB 49…
US Market Recap | 2026-08-28 (ET) Friday
Today was a textbook stagflation repricing, and it came as two blows within fifteen minutes. At 09:45 the Chicago PMI collapsed to 47.1 (prior 57.6, consensus 57.9–58.3), down 10.5 points sequentially…
U.S. Pre-Market Brief | 2026-08-28 (ET) Friday
Today's protagonist is not a single stock — it is the podium at 10:00 ET. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first Jackson Hole keynote since taking office (10:00 ET), colliding head-on with the final…
US Market Recap | 2026-08-27 (ET) Thursday
Today was risk-on, but risk appetite landed in exactly one sector. S&P +0.72%, Nasdaq +1.57%, while only 1 of the 11 SPDR sector ETFs closed higher (XLK +3.16%); the other 10 all fell, with defensives…
US Pre-Market Brief | 2026-08-27 (ET) Thursday
The strongest catalyst is NVIDIA, but what moved the stock was not the press release — it was the call. NVDA FY27Q2 revenue $96.221 billion (+106%), data center $89 billion (+117%), Q3 guidance $108 b…
U.S. Market Recap | 2026-08-26 (ET), Wednesday
At the index level this was the flattest day of the year, but internally a theme handover was completed. S&P 500 closed 7,675.70 (−0.02%), Nasdaq Composite 26,130.20 (−0.08%), Nasdaq 100 29,224.52 (+0…
US Pre-Market Brief | 2026-08-26 (ET) Wednesday
Today is a market-wide bet centered on NVDA. NVDA reports FY27Q2 at 16:20 ET today with the call at 17:00 ET; options imply a single-day move of about ±5.4%~5.9% (≈ $280 billion of market-cap swing). …
US Market Recap | 2026-08-25 (ET), Tuesday
Today was a "three markets each trading their own story" day: equities bought the chip front-run ahead of NVIDIA's earnings (SMH +1.65%, NVDA ended a seven-day losing streak at +2.19%), bonds bought t…
US Market Recap | Monday, 2026-08-24 (ET)
① Character: not risk-off, but "a single-point semiconductor collapse + broad gains inside the index." Of the 11 sector ETFs, 8 rose and 3 fell; equal-weight RSP +0.12% beat cap-weight SPY −0.29% by 0…
US Pre-Market Brief | 2026-08-24 (ET) Monday
① Strongest single catalyst: AAOI's $600 million ATM offering (SEC 424B5, filed 2026-08-21). Driver type = dilutive financing, not earnings, not guidance, not macro. It is today's only event with a fi…
U.S. Market Recap | 2026-08-21 (ET), Friday
① Character: risk-on, but "cyclical/value risk-on", not "growth risk-on". Dow +0.98% > Russell 2000 +0.85% > Nasdaq +0.44% ≈ S&P +0.43%, while NVDA −0.98%, INTC −2.24%, SMH −0.40%, XLU −2.28%. VIX clo…
U.S. Pre-Market Brief | 2026-08-21 (ET) Friday
① Today is day 3 of the "fiscal easing vs. a hawkish Fed" mispricing, not day 1 of a new catalyst. On 2026-08-19 (Wednesday) the U.S. Treasury announced it would at least double the size of each long-…
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